The Lombard Review

Bank profits hold up in a higher-for-longer world

Asset repricing offsets deposit costs

Looking up at 1 Churchill Place, aka the Barclays Building, in Canary Wharf
Looking up at 1 Churchill Place, aka the Barclays Building, in Canary Wharf Photo: mattbuck (category)/Wikimedia Commons · CC BY-SA 4.0

Key dataJPM 2024 NII guide ~$90bn

First-quarter earnings from Wall Street’s banking titans demonstrated that premier financial institutions have adapted with remarkable agility to restrictive interest rates. JPMorgan Chase reported resilient profitability and guided for full-year net interest income of roughly $90 billion, proving that diversified lenders can thrive in a 'higher-for-longer' monetary environment.

BGA Beluga F-GSTD 5jul14 LFBO-2
BGA Beluga F-GSTD 5jul14 LFBO-2 Photo: Gyrostat/Wikimedia Commons · CC BY-SA 4.0

The Asset Repricing Cushion

While deposit costs have indeed risen, banks are offsetting the friction through the ongoing repricing of term assets. Corporate revolving credit facilities, commercial loans, and newly purchased securities are rolling over into five- and six-per-cent yields, generating robust top-line interest revenues. Premier banking balance sheets are acting as cash-flow machines, insulating shareholders from the headwinds facing regional competitors.

The front view of Santa Rita No. 1 Oil Well
The front view of Santa Rita No. 1 Oil Well Photo: ZhaoFJx/Wikimedia Commons · CC BY 4.0

Wall Street’s largest banks are proving that high base rates are not an existential threat, but an engine of sustained profitability for institutions with pristine funding franchises.

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